#91
(This post was last modified: 03-26-2016, 03:28 PM by Fargo.)
Every soap and cream I buy and after a while I am bored using it, I give it to friends. That way, we are all happy, me I don't have products that I'm not going to use anymore, and they, in turn, enjoy a daily routine.
#92
(This post was last modified: 03-26-2016, 03:47 PM by Len.)
(03-26-2016, 02:49 PM)grim Wrote:
(03-26-2016, 02:49 AM)BadDad Wrote: Your entire argument if tradutuinal wetvshaving being a dying market is based on the counter point to lens AoS reference.  Not part of your argument, the majority of it.

Then there is confusion here because I never said traditional wet shaving was dying. Actually I believe it's not a bubble, but more static. I know some people are afraid that 4 companies just closed but that happens all the time. Companies come and go. If you look at the Alexa stats, at least for the most popular forum, their stats are dropping. But that bears no relation to the entire market. I believe the  sales are probably stable, and will remain stable with probably 90% of the sales to hobbyists, simply because they buy a massive amount of products, both hardware and software, than the can ever truly use.

If I were selling these products, I would sure hope the hobbyists NEVER left because they buy products far beyond basic needs. The other 10%, which is a guess but could be any number, might not represent a sustainable market. So I believe its a stable market, probably not growing or shrinking in terms of population, but sales growth is coming from those of us who buy things we do not need for daily life.

As for the most popular forum stats dropping, could that not be because people are leaving to come to forums like this one instead, where they won't be banned for trivial reasons, treated like crap, or have to tow the line with those forum owners that have a conflict of interest in promoting their own products? There have been a lot of bans recently on other forums, and a lot of dissatisfaction with how some of those forums have run recently. You said yourself in another thread, that you are much happier here than in another, more popular forum because of how you were treated there.

As for the growth in wet shaving products recently, this cannot be because wet shavers buy more than they need. If wet shavers buy more than they need, they would have bought more than they needed 5, 10, or 15 years ago as well... which would mean that products sold and offered would have been stable. The only explanation for product growth and diversity is that there are more people entering the market than there was years ago. And a lot of credit for this can be given to things like the Dollar Shave Club, where people hear about it online, start researching and discover safety razors. Or, they see the Bevel or MicroTouch in there local grocery stores all of a sudden. Or, they see AoS in their malls. In checking these things out, they stumble into forums like this one where they see thousands of people praising traditional wet shaving, and give it a shot.

BadDad likes this post
#93

That Bald Guy with the Big Beard
Bishop, CA
(03-26-2016, 02:49 PM)grim Wrote:
(03-26-2016, 02:49 AM)BadDad Wrote: Your entire argument if tradutuinal wetvshaving being a dying market is based on the counter point to lens AoS reference.  Not part of your argument, the majority of it.

Then there is confusion here because I never said traditional wet shaving was dying. Actually I believe it's not a bubble, but more static. I know some people are afraid that 4 companies just closed but that happens all the time. Companies come and go. If you look at the Alexa stats, at least for the most popular forum, their stats are dropping. But that bears no relation to the entire market. I believe the  sales are probably stable, and will remain stable with probably 90% of the sales to hobbyists, simply because they buy a massive amount of products, both hardware and software, than the can ever truly use.

If I were selling these products, I would sure hope the hobbyists NEVER left because they buy products far beyond basic needs. The other 10%, which is a guess but could be any number, might not represent a sustainable market. So I believe its a stable market, probably not growing or shrinking in terms of population, but sales growth is coming from those of us who buy things we do not need for daily life.

I can live with that.

I, personally, believe the hobby is already growing, and will continue to grow, rather than being stable and static, but I'm not going to pick fly crap out of pepper just for the sake of debate...

Good discussion!
-Chris~Head Shaver~
#94
I'm willing to also wager that the majority of people here only discovered wet shaving within the past 5, 10, or 15 years. I myself only started with it within the last year. If my thesis is correct about the membership here, this proves that traditional wet shaving is growing.

BadDad likes this post
#95

That Bald Guy with the Big Beard
Bishop, CA
(03-26-2016, 03:55 PM)Len Wrote: I'm willing to also wager that the majority of people here only discovered wet shaving within the past 5, 10, or 15 years. I myself only started with it within the last year. If my thesis is correct about the membership here, this proves that traditional wet shaving is growing.

I started on November 15, 2015, after shaving my head for a week using a ProGlide and HATING the bumps and irritation it was giving me. My scalp was so raw and irritated and full of ingrown hairs, that the first time I dragged a DE across it, I sliced right through every bump and ingrown, and ended up with a head covered in a minefield of weepers. But the next evening, my scalp felt better than it had before, just because the ingrowns were gone...

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-Chris~Head Shaver~
#96
(This post was last modified: 03-26-2016, 04:49 PM by grim.)
(03-26-2016, 03:42 PM)Len Wrote: As for the most popular forum stats dropping, could that not be because people are leaving to come to forums like this one instead, where they won't be banned for trivial reasons, treated like crap, or have to tow the line with those forum owners that have a conflict of interest in promoting their own products? There have been a lot of bans recently on other forums, and a lot of dissatisfaction with how some of those forums have run recently. You said yourself in another thread, that you are much happier here than in another, more popular forum because of how you were treated there.

As for the growth in wet shaving products recently, this cannot be because wet shavers buy more than they need. If wet shavers buy more than they need, they would have bought more than they needed 5, 10, or 15 years ago as well... which would mean that products sold and offered would have been stable. The only explanation for product growth and diversity is that there are more people entering the market than there was years ago. And a lot of credit for this can be given to things like the Dollar Shave Club, where people hear about it online, start researching and discover safety razors. Or, they see the Bevel or MicroTouch in there local grocery stores all of a sudden. Or, they see AoS in their malls. In checking these things out, they stumble into forums like this one where they see thousands of people praising traditional wet shaving, and give it a shot.


I'm willing to also wager that the majority of people here only discovered wet shaving within the past 5, 10, or 15 years. I myself only started with it within the last year. If my thesis is correct about the membership here, this proves that traditional wet shaving is growing.

1. Forums are like balloons. They have a core group. 99% of posts are done by 1% of the membership. That core group can stay, a few leave, and a few more come in. Google placement in a search matters. New people who seek it, find it. And guess which forum they find? Yes, people might leave for a variety of reasons but usually its disinterest (this is for any forum). A new, more high priority interest pops up and they go make pottery, or whatever interests them. You would have to look at the alexa stats for ALL forums for you statement to be true. Are you sure you want to know that? Of course this is ranked against all web site.

DFS ranked down ~99,000 slots in the last 3 months
shavenook ranked down ~58,000 slots in the last 3 months
smf ranked down ~191,000
The big one down ~3346

2. "If wet shavers buy more than they need, they would have bought more than they needed 5, 10, or 15 years ago as well." That would be a false assumption. You have two sets of users, the hobbyists. Yes, the hobbyists do. The second set are those trying to save money. They don't. For them the cheapest blades and soap are fine. You buy Williams or whatever and get a new one when  you need it.

The hobbyists can grow, just like there might be more gardeners or stamp collectors or coin collectors. But to do what you want, you need to convert the masses, those for who shaving is mundane. They will only buy what they need. So those serving this business should hope for more hobbyist because I know of NO OTHER HOBBY where people buy consumable goods to have it rot in closets. Do you?

3. I would agree many there are recent converts, and I would believe the ratio of hobbyists to those truly trying to save money is 90:10. There are surveys or polls on this on other forums. Of those that respond, the vast majority sink far more money into it than necessary stockpiling stuff. Who needs a case of Arko or a two year supply of blades for the end of the world. If the end of the world is coming, you will have far more important things to worry about.
#97
Wet shaving will not be mainstream, ever. Not going to happen. You can throw around statistics all you want and make a turd try to be a rose but at the end of the day, it's still a turd. Unless a company with a big war chest invest major bucks on an advertising campaign, the average joe will continue to use canned cream and cartridges. Pepper the masses with advertising about how great cartridges are and they will follow......and have followed in mass and will continue to do so.

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#98
(This post was last modified: 03-26-2016, 05:09 PM by Len.)
I'm not surprised that shaving forums are down in the last three months after Christmas, this should be expected in yearly cycles. But Alexa results are not indicative of all factors either. Maybe the general public is using the web to research candidates in this year's election more, or something particularly popular has happened with the Kardashians, or teenage girls have a new heart-throb. This is an apples to oranges comparison, and does not show what is going on with cart shaving vs. safety razor shaving.

In fact, a website or forums' traffic may go up, while the overall Alexa results compared to other sites might be down.

Anyway, for me, I'm not a collector, and shaving used to be mundane for me until I discovered a razor that changed my shaving life. The forums gave me the reviews I needed to make the purchase, and now I have soaps and brushes and aftershaves I would have never bought otherwise.

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#99

Chazz Reinhold HOF
As long as I enjoy it, I don't care who else wants to join, lol.....

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#100
(This post was last modified: 03-26-2016, 05:58 PM by Len.)
(03-26-2016, 05:26 PM)hrfdez Wrote: As long as I enjoy it, I don't care who else wants to join, lol.....

Until your favorite soap or brush maker goes out of business, you don't... Undecided

I personally care because I would like to see these great products continue and expand. I for one would like to see more brushes, soaps, razors and the like with even better quality and innovation. Maybe others don't want to see these things, but I do.

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